bayes

About Bayes Bayes Risk Management er et partnerbasert konsulentselskap som leverer risikobasert beslutningstøtte til sine kunder i Olje & Gass og Bank & Finans markedene. Selskapet er Gazelle bedrift, Achilles sertifisert og støtter og bidrar til <a href="http://www.oprisk.no/">www.oprisk.no</a>. Bayes Risk Management er kåret til «Norges Sprekeste Bedrift" i regi av b.a Dagens Næringsliv! Denne kåringen er den første i sin sjanger i Norge, og i følge Marit Breivik "Norges mesterskap for bedrifter" og i kategorien små privatbedrift tok Bayes GULL! Juryen besto av Trond Giske, Celina Midelfart, Marit Breivik, Amund Djuve og Svein Erik Bolle. Du kan lese mer om dette og noen andre aktuelle saker om Bayes på disse linkene: <a href="http://www.rogalandsavis.no/nyheter/article5708655.ece">http://www.rogalandsavis.no/nyheter/article5708655.ece</a> <a href="http://tomcat-pm.intermedium.com/pdf/Stavanger_Aftenblad/2011/09/14/0200092011091401010301001.pdf">http://tomcat-pm.intermedium.com/pdf/Stavanger_Aftenblad/2011/09/14/0200092011091401010301001.pdf</a> <a href="http://www.dn.no/dnaktiv/article2206598.ece">http://www.dn.no/dnaktiv/article2206598.ece</a> Vi søker etter flere medarbeidere som vil være med å bidra på veien til seier! Er du en av de? Ta en titt under "Careers" Vision & Strategies chess.jpg Bayes' vision is to be acknowledged by clients and competitors as a leading consultancy on risk based decision support - in a full Bayesian setting. The vision is approached by: <ul><li>Continuous strategy work and corresponding action plans & budget, i.e. focused strategies realized via means, actions and necessary funding.</li><li>Healthy company growth and expansion. </li><li>Creation of a milieu for a joyful, fun, innovative, highly skilled and positive working environment that attracts the supreme candidates in the market. This ensures attractive surroundings for further personal-, professional- and company growth. </li><li>Strongly focused in-house education & competency programs, extensive, focused and carefully selected Research and Development work, high publishing rates (papers etc.), external course activity as well as inspiring projects and work tasks, the employees are educated and trained in the front end technology and will be able to manage risk and safety today with the tools of tomorrow. </li><li>Effective, risk-based and self-learning in-house processes. </li><li>Open house management and employee participation (partnership). </li><li>Our values. </li><li>Strategic alliances and co-operations.</li></ul> Processes per(AT)bayes.no lasse(AT)bayes.no jerome(AT)bayes.no arild(AT)bayes.no trond(AT)bayes.no stein(AT)bayes.no elin(AT)bayes.no johnny(AT)bayes.no toratle(AT)bayes.no david(AT)bayes.no aina(AT)bayes.no per(AT)bayes.no Partners Per Christian Øyan Managing Director per(AT)bayes.no <ul><li>M.Sc. in Reliability Engineering & Safety Management</li><li>Experience within the fields of Risk and Safety management at senior level within the oil and gas industry in addition to middle and top-level management experience.</li><li>Experienced in Risk and Safety Management in projects such as; topsides and subsea new builds, M&M contracts, onshore facilities and product development. Three years experience in typical engineering companies and the latest years in consultancy companies where the clients have ranged from operators, product developers and engineering companies. Project experience from the Norwegian Continental Shelf, UK sector and Persian Gulf. </li><li>Experienced in Operational Risk Management including day to day operations, asset development, consent application, compliance work etc..</li></ul> Lasse Berg Andersen Chairman of the Board lasse(AT)bayes.no <ul><li>PhD. in Risk Management</li><li>M.Sc. in Petroleum Technology</li><li>B.Sc. in Civil Engineering</li><li>Associate Professor, Risk Management, UiS</li><li>Experience within the fields of Risk and Safety management. Six years in research, and ten years in consulting where the clients have ranged from Oil & Gas operators, drilling contractors, well service, engineering companies and governmental bodies</li><li>International experience from the UK, Azerbaijan, Venezuela and USA</li><li>Several years of management experience, both as CEO and in middle management positions</li><li>Founding father of several companies</li></ul> Jerome Cieza Business Development jerome(AT)bayes.no <ul><li>M.Sc. in Environmental Management</li><li>B.Sc. in Petroleum Technology</li><li>Experience within the fields of Risk and Safety Management as well as Well Services.</li><li>World wide oil and gas experience, including the Norwegian sector, with a well services company, a governmental regulatory body, engineering and operating companies.</li><li>Experience both on- and offshore.</li></ul> Brit Skadberg brit(AT)bayes.no <li>M.Sc in Offshore Engineering - Safety and Risk</li><li>Experience within the field of safety and risk management, mainly within the Oil and Gas industry, working for operating and consultancy companies</li><li>Experience in managing projects for analyses and studies for engineering and operating companies, both onshore and offshore</li><li>Experience within Norway and UK projects</li><li>Specialises in Risk and emergency preparedness, mustering and evacuation studies, technical safety, contingency planning, HAZOP and HAZID</li><li>Experience in project management and air safety</li> Arild Granli Yacht Club arild(AT)bayes.no <ul><li>M.Sc. in Offshore Safety </li><li>B.Sc. in Fire Safety Engineering</li><li>Experience from engineering companies working as an HSE engineer</li><li>Expertise within the fields of technical safety, HSE follow-up and package responsible in the Oil and Gas Industry</li><li>Projects ranging from new installations topsides, subsea facilities and concept studies on the Norwegian continental shelf</li></ul> Marianne Bay marianne(AT)bayes.no <li>Undertaking PhD.</li><li>M.Sc. in Industrial Economy</li><li>Contract engineer experience within offshore industry</li><li>Currently undertaking PhD in Operational Risk Management. Mariannes work focuses on 'soft factors' (such as ethics, moral, leadership and values) influencing how operational events occur. In addition Mariannes works with systems and structure for optimal event reporting. As an important part of this she is in progress with establishing a database for OpRisk-events at Stavanger University. </li> Mark Thomson mark(AT)bayes.no <ul><li>M.Sc. in Safety Engineering and Risk Management</li><li>B.Sc. in Civil and Structural Engineering</li><li>Risk management consultant with experience in the offshore industry both in Norway and the UK.</li><li>Areas of expertise include qualitative and quantitative risk assessment, hazard identification, design legislation compliance, cost benefit analysis, risk based inspection, regulatory compliance.</li><li>HSE project experience from conceptual design, FEED through to modification projects. </li></ul> Gunnar Vigeland Associate <ul><li>M.Sc. in Offshore Technology, HSE and Risk Management</li><li>B.Sc. in Mechanical Technology</li><li>Experience working as a HSE engineer within the fields of Risk and Safety management. Nine years in typical engineering company and the most recent years in consultant companies where the clients have ranged from operators and engineering companies.</li><li>The projects span from topside new builds and major modifications, M&M contracts, onshore facilities and concept studies- all in the Oil & Gas industry.</li></ul> Bjørnar Kildal Associate <ul><li>M.Sc. in Offshore Technology</li><li>B.Sc. in Construction</li><li>Experience within the fields of construction, project management and Risk and Safety management.</li><li>Areas of expertise range from construction engineering, project management, subsea new builds, topside Maintenance and Modifications, safety studies and HSE follow-up of offshore- and drilling operations. All in the Oil and Gas and Construction industries, on- and offshore. The clients range from operators, drilling contractors, engineering companies and the Royal Norwegian army. </li></ul> Elin Karlsen Fun Factory elin(AT)bayes.no <ul><li>M.Sc. in Offshore Technology</li><li>B.Sc. in Fire Protection Engineering</li><li>Experience working as an HSE engineer within the field of technical safety and HSE in the Oil & Gas industry.</li><li>Expertise within Risk Studies</li><li>Experience mainly gathered within engineering and operating companies where the projects span from concept studies, Maintenance and Modification contracts as well as HSE follow-up of offshore operations at different fields in the North Sea.</li></ul> Graham Armstrong Associate <ul><li>M.Sc in Safety Engineering and Risk Management</li><li>B.Sc. in Mechanical Engineering</li><li>Experience within engineering in the oil and gas and nuclear industries</li><li>Working within engineering and operating companies with experience of risk based design and HSE follow-up, technical safety (all phases of an Maintenance & Modification EPCIC contract). </li></ul> David Hager Research & Development david(AT)bayes.no <ul><li>Undertaking PhD.</li><li>M.Sc. in Community Safety</li><li>B.Sc. in Space Technology</li><li>Experience within the fields of Risk and Safety Management, risk based design, HSE follow-up, technical safety (all phases of an M&M EPCIC contract). </li><li>SIL and Reliability and Availability analysis specialist.</li><li>Discipline lead experience</li><li>Working with a method for quantitative modelling of operational risk in accordance with the Basel II requirements for AMA. Responsible for lecturing in Bayesian Network Modelling at Stavanger University.</li></ul> Jayantha P. Liyanage Associate <ul><li>PhD. in Offshore engineering - Asset management</li><li>M.Sc. in Human Factors and Ergonomics</li><li>B.Sc. in Production engineering</li><li>Professor, Asset operations, Maintenance technology, and Asset management, UiS</li><li>Chair, Centre for Maintenance and Asset management, UiS</li><li>Experience both in academia and industry. Involved in various projects related to Production engineering, Civil engineering, Human factors, Asset operations, Maintenance technology, etc.</li><li>Currently project manager and advisor for a number of industrial and PhD projects.</li><li>Numerous Awards</li><li>Position on the Editorial boards of a number of International journals and a member of International steering committees of a number of International conferences. </li></ul> Tore Markeset Associate <ul><li>PhD. in Offshore Technology, Maintenance and Asset Management</li><li>M.Sc. in Mechanical engineering</li><li>BME in Mechanical engineering</li><li>B.Sc. in Petroleum engineering</li><li>Associate Professor, Maintenance and Asset Management, UiS</li><li>Experience within petroleum and offshore engineering. This includes six years of experience in reservoir engineering research, five years of experience in process and mechanical engineering and IT support, and seven years of experience in research in the field of maintenance and asset management as well as product support and industrial services</li><li>Research at UiS, Reservoir Engineering Research Institute (Palo Alto, California), and Norsk Hydro Research Center (Bergen)</li><li>International experience from USA, Sweden and Holland</li><li>Several years of project management experience of industrial projects as well as research projects in Norway and USA</li></ul> Aina Sæthre Administration aina(AT)bayes.no <ul><li>Administration responsible</li><li>Trained nurse with postgraduate studies in preventive health care</li><li>Nursing experience from various hospitals</li><li>Skilled in preventive health care at company health services as well as maternal and child health centres</li><li>Secretarial education and experience</li></ul> Ine Jøssang ine(AT)bayes.no <ul><li>M.Sc. in Offshore Safety</li><li>B.Sc. in Petroleum Engineering</li><li>Experience in safety engineering within engineering companies in Norway</li><li>Experience in firewater systems, HAZOP/HAZID, regulatory compliance and contractor follow-up</li><li>Experience within a number of projects both on- and offshore for a number of operators</li></ul> Roger Vestvik roger(AT)bayes.no <ul><li>B.Sc. in Safety and Reliability Engineering </li><li>Experience within HSE&Q and process </li><li>Detailed knowldege of firewater systems</li><li>Specialises in risk and safety management within offshore sector</li><li>Experience with an number of projects for both contractors and operators in Norway and abroad</li></ul> Tor Atle Aadneram Telecom toratle(AT)bayes.no <ul><li>M.Sc. in Offshore Technology - Safety</li><li>B.Sc. in Process Chemistry</li><li>Experience within the fields of risk and safety management in projects such as: HSE support on topsides new builds and M&M contracts in the oil and gas industry on the Norwegian continental shelf and developing consent applications for life extensions of facilities.</li></ul> Stein Erik Hilmersen Management System stein(AT)bayes.no <ul><li>M.Sc. in Industrial economics and technology management</li><li>International experience in oilfield operations offshore</li><li>Operational and project risk management</li><li>Technical safety</li><li>Safety barrier analysis</li><li>Risk studies including HAZOP, HAZID, SAFOP, Design Reviews, Emergency Preparedness Analysis</li></ul> Bente Hallan bente(AT)bayes.no <ul><li>M.Sc. in Offshore Technology</li><li>B.Sc. in Computer Science</li><li>Experience in HSE in the oil and gas industry</li><li>Specialises in technical safety engineering in M&M contracts covering fire and gas, firewater systems, area classification, escape, working environment, SIL and HAZOP. </li></ul> Bill Hedges Associate <ul><li>Experience in safety within the offshore industry</li><li>Chartered and affilliations with MFE and AMFS</li><li>Experience both in Norway and UK with operators and contractors in a wide range of projects, including new builds and modifications</li></ul> Johnny Sollesnes Sports & Health johnny(AT)bayes.no <li>M.Sc. in Offshore Safety</li><li>B.Sc. in Fire Protection Engineering</li><li>Experience within technical safety and firewater engineering.</li><li>Experienced in HSE HSE follow up of contractors and support for projects in the oil and gas industry with particular focus on firewater engineering.</li><li>Projects ranging from new installations topsides and concept studies on the Norwegian continental shelf.</li> Rune Berentsen Associate <li>B.Sc. in Safety Technology</li><li>Experience within the field of technical safety in the oil and gas industry</li><li>Several years experience as discipline lead in large modification and new build projects.</li><li>Experienceacilitator of HSE design reviews, HAZID and SAFOP.</li><li>Projects ranging from new installations topsides and concept studies on the Norwegian continental shelf.</li> Malene Tungland malene(AT)bayes.no <ul><li>M.Sc. in Health, Safety and Environment</li><li>Experience, three years experience in engineering safety engineering in the oil and gas industry. HSE support and technical safety engineering on topsides construction projects in Norway.</li><li>Currently comleting PhD at Stavanger University. Research focuses on optimisation of the framework for risk identification. Work also includes evaluation of organisations' culture in relation to quantitative measuring of risk.</li></ul> Ole Dolven ole(AT)bayes.no <li>M.Sc. in Industrial Mathematics and Reliability Analysis</li><li>Experience in engineering safety engineering in the oil and gas industry. HSE experience within M&M projects in topsides construction contractors in Norway.</li> Stein Erik Hilmersen Management System kjersti(AT)bayes.no <li>M.Sc. in Industrial economics and technology management</li><li>International experience in oilfield operations offshore</li><li>Operational and project risk management</li><li>Technical safety</li><li>Safety barrier analysis</li><li>Risk studies including HAZOP, HAZID, SAFOP, Design Reviews, Emergency Preparedness Analysis</li> Kjetil Aamodt kjetil(AT)bayes.no <li>M.Sc in Production and Material Development</li><li>Experience within the field of safety and risk management, mainly within the Oil and Gas industry, working for operating and consulting companies</li><li>Specialist within ship collison and emergency preparedness studies</li> Trond Jacobsen IT & Webmaster trond(AT)bayes.no <li>M.Sc in Petroleum Technology</li><li>Experience within the field of safety and risk management, mainly within the Oil and Gas industry, working for operating and consulting companies</li><li>Specialist within risk analysis</li> Trond Jacobsen IT & Webmaster trond(AT)bayes.no <li>M.Sc in Petroleum Technology</li><li>Experience within the field of safety and risk management, mainly within the Oil and Gas industry, working for operating and consulting companies</li><li>Specialist within risk analysis</li> Bjarte Mjølhus bjarte(AT)bayes.no <li>M.Sc in Offshore Technology</li><li>B. Sc in Petroleum Engineering</li><li>Experience with Risk Modelling and Safety Analysis</li><li>Good knowledge of techincal safety in projects both on and offshore</li><li>Thorough knowledge of quantative risk analysis in the offshore industry</li> Per Olav Sætre perolav(AT)bayes.no <li>M.Sc in Health, Safety, Risk and environmental Management</li><li>Experience as project HSEQ and risk manager and engineer in various projects in the oil and gas industry</li><li>Area of expertise include risk and safety management, accident theory, environmental management, risk studies, audits and regulatory compliance</li><li>Offshore and international experience</li> Kjersti Vik kjersti(AT)bayes.no <li>M.Sc in Industrial Economy </li><li>B.Eng in Safety Engineering</li><li>Experience as project HSEQ and risk manager and engineer in various projects in the oil and gas industry</li><li>Area of expertise include risk and safety management, technical safety and risk based inspection</li> Bayes History In 2005 five senior risk analysts came together to form a company that acknowledged the importance of providing real decision support through risk analysis and a pragmatic approach to risk management work founded on sharply focused competence. Since start up Bayes has grown at a rapid pace, attracting professionals that share the same ideas and values. The company is named in honour of the English theologian and mathematician Thomas Bayes (b:1702, d:1761) who has greatly contributed to the development of the probability notion and statistics, and thus the basis for modern risk management. There are two main schools within the risk management profession, i.e. the Frequentist approach anchored in the law of large numbers, and the knowledge based, often referred to as the Bayesian approach. In Bayes we provide risk based decision support in a full Bayesian setting to our customers. The orange puzzle in our logo refers to the problem known as The Puzzle posed in 1450 by the Italian monk Luca Paccioli: A and B are playing a fair game of Balla. They agree to continue until one has won six rounds. The game is interrupted when A has won five and B three. How should the stakes be divided? The puzzle on "how to divide the stakes from an unfinished game" was more significant than it appears and subjected to heated debates among mathematicians for 200 years. Finally Pascal and Fermat teamed up in 1654, and the outcome was intellectual dynamite, leading to the discovery of the theory of probability, the mathematical hart of the concept of risk management. Thus, for the first time, people could make decisions as well as forecast the future with the help of numbers.